THE INEVITABLE FRACTURE: Why the Wike–Tinubu Alliance Is Built to Collapse
Governance Today Nigeria’s analysis reveals that the alliance between Nyesom Wike and President Bola Ahmed Tinubu is not rooted in ideology, loyalty, or shared vision — but in political convenience. History shows such alliances rarely endure once interests diverge.
Wike did not align with Tinubu out of conviction, but calculation. Tinubu did not embrace Wike out of trust, but utility — to neutralise opposition and weaken rival power blocs. These are not foundations for longevity. They are temporary scaffolding.
It was heard and noticed during the height of the worsening political power tussle between Wike and Fubara over structure control that
Wike threw some jabs at his boss, Tinubu, saying nobody could use and dump him. Even the recent curse Wike issued on betrayers was interpreted by some as including the presidency, but because the president is not plural, that was why he was not mentioned in his thunderous baptism of curses.
How the Break Will Happen
Why This Outcome Is Predictable
Wike’s political pattern is consistent: alliances are embraced loudly, then discarded quietly when their usefulness fades. This is not personal — it is structural.
A politician built on defiance cannot permanently submit to hierarchy. A power broker cannot remain subordinate indefinitely.
